Probability is not a mere computation of odds on the dice or more complicated variants; it is the acceptance of the lack of certainty in our knowledge and the development of methods for dealing with our ignorance.
Nassim Nicholas TalebYou want failures to be small and informational. Silicon Valley does very well. It knows how to use failure as a tool for improvement.
Nassim Nicholas TalebIt's not a good idea to take a forecast from someone wearing a tie. If possible, tease people who take themselves and their knowledge too seriously.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb