It might be useful to be able to predict war. But tension does not necessarily lead to war, but often to peace and to denouement.
Nassim Nicholas TalebMost people are sceptical about the wrong things and gullible about the wrong things.
Nassim Nicholas TalebSwitzerland is the perfect place where you have volatility at a municipal level that nothing up top - small units competing with each other.
Nassim Nicholas TalebThose who were unlucky in life in spite of their skills would eventually rise. The lucky fool might have benefited from some luck in life; over the longer run he would slowly converge to the state of a less-lucky idiot. Each one would revert to his long-term properties.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb