We know from chaos theory that even if you had a perfect model of the world, you'd need infinite precision in order to predict future events. With sociopolitical or economic phenomena, we don't have anything like that.
Nassim Nicholas TalebThe fragile wants tranquility, the antifragile grows from disorder, and the robust doesn't care too much.
Nassim Nicholas TalebThe psychologist Gerd Gigerenzer has a simple heuristic. Never ask the doctor what you should do. Ask him what he would do if he were in your place. You would be surprised at the difference
Nassim Nicholas TalebCapitalism is about adventurers who get harmed by their mistakes, not people who harm others with their mistakes.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb