Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
Nate SilverI don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
Nate SilverNew ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
Nate SilverPeople don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
Nate Silver