There's always the risk that there are unknown unknowns.

Racism is predictable. It's predicted by interaction or lack thereof with people unlike you, people of other races.

All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.

Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge: the serenity to accept the things we cannot predict, the courage to predict the things we can, and the wisdom to know the difference.

The thing that people associate with expertise, authoritativeness, kind of with a capital 'A,' don't correlate very well with who's actually good at making predictions.

I've just always been a bit of a dork.

A lot of news is just entertainment masquerading as news.