There's always the risk that there are unknown unknowns.

If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.

The thing that people associate with expertise, authoritativeness, kind of with a capital 'A,' don't correlate very well with who's actually good at making predictions.

We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty.

The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.

The quest for certainty in forecasting outcomes can be the enemy of progress.

Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.