Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.

The quest for certainty in forecasting outcomes can be the enemy of progress.

Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.

You don't want to treat any one person as oracular.

People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.

I have the same friends and the same bad habits.

Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.