The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake.

Midterm elections can be dreadfully boring, unfortunately.

You don't want to treat any one person as oracular.

Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.

The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.

I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.

Finding patterns is easy in any kind of data-rich environment; that's what mediocre gamblers do. The key is in determining whether the patterns represent signal or noise