Finding patterns is easy in any kind of data-rich environment; that's what mediocre gamblers do. The key is in determining whether the patterns represent signal or noise

I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.

I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.

Midterm elections can be dreadfully boring, unfortunately.

To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.

We look at all the polls, not just the Gallup Poll. So, it's kind of like if you have, you know, four out of five doctors agree that reducing cholesterol reduces your risk of a heart attack, Gallup is like the fifth doctor.

A lot of news is just entertainment masquerading as news.