Elections themselves do not necessarily lead to more corporate uncertainty - quite the reverse, stable democracies create a reliable environment. And elections have caused hardly any change in the basic economic framework in the last few decades.
Nicholas BloomPolitics has become very unpredictable, making things so very difficult for individuals and also for companies.
Nicholas BloomPolitical stability was at most a factor in assessing developing countries or Russia. It is now also an issue in Western democracies.
Nicholas BloomIf you leave school at 16 then, in all probability, there is a machine that can do what you can do better and cheaper. And Trump can't do anything to change that.
Nicholas BloomPolitical uncertainty around the world has more than doubled since the election of Trump. To find anything comparable we have to go way back, to the late 1920s for example, the times of the Great Depression. Or think of the United Kingdom in the 1970s, when the International Monetary Fund had to help the country out with a dramatic rescue operation. Up until the Greek crisis, that was the last time that the IMF was forced to intervene to such an extent in Europe.
Nicholas Bloom