It turns out it takes 30 years for a new idea to seep into the culture. Technology does not drive change. It is our collective response to the options and opportunities presented by technology that drives change.

Every day huge amounts of information break off like icebergs and melt away. What worries me is that much information in electronic form is never reduced to paper. Some people have described this as being on the edge of a digital Dark Age and fear we may commit a massive act of amnesia.

I don't think information overload is a function of the volume of information. It's a derivative of the volume of information plus the sense-making tools you have.

It will take a decade or two, but fundamentalism is going to burn itself.

I've actually tried not to call myself a futurist for the last 25 years. I prefer "forecaster," but people call me a futurist, and it doesn't really bother me.

Microsoft is a big intellectual roach motel. All the big minds go in, and they don't come out.

Any thinking person is qualified to be a forecaster, and in fact, everybody does it every day.