Most successful pundits are selected for being opinionated, because it's interesting, and the penalties for incorrect predictions are negligible. You can make predictions, and a year later people won't remember them.

Psychologists really aim to be scientists, white-coat stuff, with elaborate statistics, running experiments.

If there is time to reflect, slowing down is likely to be a good idea.

Experienced happiness refers to your feelings, to how happy you are as you live your life. In contrast, the satisfaction of the remembering self refers to your feelings when you think about your life.

Survival prospects are poor for an animal that is not suspicious of novelty.

After a crisis we tell ourselves we understand why it happened and maintain the illusion that the world is understandable. In fact, we should accept the world is incomprehensible much of the time.

If people can construct a simple and coherent story, they will feel confident regardless of how well grounded it is in reality.