I would be wary of experts' intuition, except when they deal with something that they have dealt with a lot in the past.

If you can't take the time for a vacation right now, or even a night out with friends, put something on the calendar - even if it's a month or a year down the road. Then whenever you need a boost of happiness, remind yourself about it.

Survival prospects are poor for an animal that is not suspicious of novelty.

If you care about being thought credible and intelligent, do not use complex language where simpler language will do.

By their very nature, heuristic shortcuts will produce biases, and that is true for both humans and artificial intelligence, but the heuristics of AI are not necessarily the human ones.

The amount of success it takes for leaders to become overconfident isn't terribly large.

I have always believed that scientific research is another domain where a form of optimism is essential to success: I have yet to meet a successful scientist who lacks the ability to exaggerate the importance of what he or she is doing, and I believe that someone who lacks a delusional sense of significance will wilt in the face of repeated experiences of multiple small failures and rare successes, the fate of most researchers.