I would be wary of experts' intuition, except when they deal with something that they have dealt with a lot in the past.

The illusion of skill is not only an individual aberration; it is deeply ingrained in the culture of the [investment management] industry.

If there was one ubiquitous recommendation about marriage it was this: "Don't go to bed angry."

The confidence people have in their beliefs is not a measure of the quality of evidence but of the coherence of the story the mind has managed to construct.

I enjoy being active, but I look forward to the day when I can retire to the Internet.

Policy makers, like most people, normally feel that they already know all the psychology and all the sociology they are likely to need for their decisions. I don't think they are right, but that's the way it is.

The most effortful forms of slow thinking are those that require you to think fast.