Banks are run by executives, and executives protect themselves, and that does not always mean that banks are going to behave rationally.
Daniel KahnemanYou're surprised by something, but you don't really know what surprised you; you recognize someone, but you don't really know what cues cause you to recognize that person.
Daniel KahnemanPeople are really happier with friends than they are with their families or their spouse or their child.
Daniel KahnemanFinally, the illusions of validity and skill are supported by a powerful professional culture. We know that people can maintain an unshakeable faith in any proposition, however absurd, when they are sustained by a community of like-minded believers. Given the professional culture of the financial community, it is not surprising that large numbers of individuals in that world believe themselves to be among the chosen few who can do what they believe others cannot.
Daniel KahnemanOne of the problems with expertise is that people have it in some domains and not in others.
Daniel KahnemanI have always believed that scientific research is another domain where a form of optimism is essential to success: I have yet to meet a successful scientist who lacks the ability to exaggerate the importance of what he or she is doing, and I believe that someone who lacks a delusional sense of significance will wilt in the face of repeated experiences of multiple small failures and rare successes, the fate of most researchers.
Daniel Kahneman