There are domains in which expertise is not possible. Stock picking is a good example. And in long-term political strategic forecasting, it's been shown that experts are just not better than a dice-throwing monkey.
Daniel KahnemanIn essence, the optimistic style involves taking credit for successes but little blame for failures.
Daniel KahnemanWhen you analyze happiness, it turns out that the way you spend your time is extremely important.
Daniel KahnemanWhen you look at the books about well-being, you see one word - it's happiness. People do not distinguish.
Daniel Kahneman