An individual who expresses high confidence probably has a good story, which may or may not be true.

Alternative descriptions of the same reality evoke different emotions and different associations.

My impression is that the elimination of memories greatly reduces the value of the experience.

One study found that people who just thought about watching their favorite movie actually raised their endorphin levels by 27 percent.

If people do not know what is going to make them better off or give them pleasure, then the idea that you can trust people to do what will give them pleasure becomes questionable.

If you care about being thought credible and intelligent, do not use complex language where simpler language will do.

Except for some effects that I attribute mostly to age, my intuitive thinking is just as prone to overconfidence, extreme predictions, and the planning fallacy as it was before I made a study of these issues.