Let's say [Donald] Trump wins. Is Congress going to let him build a wall on the Mexican border? I don't think so.
Gary ShillingDespite the recent conviction of many that we're headed back to inflation, I think deflation remains the more likely prospect. You've just got too much excess capacity in the world.
Gary ShillingIf you look back historically at the post-WWII period on average, if you get a 100-basis-point increase in Fed funds, the spillover to the ten-year is only 35 basis points, and 25 basis points into the 30-year - it's a fairly small spillover effect.
Gary Shilling