Scepticism is effortful and costly. It is better to be sceptical about matters of large consequences, and be imperfect, foolish and human in the small and the aesthetic.

Never think that lack of variability is stability. Don't confuse lack of volatility with stability, ever.

Failure saves lives. In the airline industry, every time a plane crashes the probability of the next crash is lowered by that.

The fastest way to become rich is to socialize with the poor; the fastest way to become poor is to socialize with the rich.

Your reputation is harmed the most by what you say to defend it.

The opposite of fragile is something that gains from disorder.

Forecasting by bureaucrats tends to be used for anxiety relief rather than for adequate policy making.