I have to think about how to not spread myself too thin. It's a really great problem to have.

Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.

Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.

I have to think about how to not spread myself too thin. It's a really great problem to have.

If you have reason to think that yesterday's forecast went wrong, there is no glory in sticking to it.

Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.

It's a little strange to become a kind of symbol of a whole type of analysis.