I have to think about how to not spread myself too thin. It's a really great problem to have.

You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.

All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.

New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.

I love South American food, and I haven't really been down there. I really need a vacation.

The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake.

I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.