All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
Finding patterns is easy in any kind of data-rich environment; that's what mediocre gamblers do. The key is in determining whether the patterns represent signal or noise
Voters' memories will fade some.
People have different ways of interpreting history.
The thing that people associate with expertise, authoritativeness, kind of with a capital 'A,' don't correlate very well with who's actually good at making predictions.