We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty.

One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.

People have different ways of interpreting history.

The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.

I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.

The key to making a good forecast is not in limiting yourself to quantitative information.

We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty.