The key to making a good forecast is not in limiting yourself to quantitative information.

We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.

Every four years in the presidential election, some new precedent is broken.

A lot of news is just entertainment masquerading as news.

I have to think about how to not spread myself too thin. It's a really great problem to have.

I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'

You get steely nerves playing poker.