I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.

It's a little strange to become a kind of symbol of a whole type of analysis.

People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.

In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.

Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.

First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.

I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.