We want to get 80%-85% of predictions right, not 100%. Or else we calibrated our estimates in the wrong way.

I love South American food, and I haven't really been down there. I really need a vacation.

First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.

A lot of journalism wants to have what they call objectivity without them having a commitment to pursuing the truth, but that doesn't work. Objectivity requires belief in and a commitment toward pursuing the truth - having an object outside of our personal point of view.

A lot of news is just entertainment masquerading as news.

You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.

We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty.