People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
I guess I don't like the people in politics very much, to be blunt.
People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
Midterm elections can be dreadfully boring, unfortunately.
We need to stop, and admit it: we have a prediction problem. We love to predict things—and we aren’t very good at it.