I guess I don't like the people in politics very much, to be blunt.

Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge: the serenity to accept the things we cannot predict, the courage to predict the things we can, and the wisdom to know the difference.

I think punditry serves no purpose.

Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.

We want to get 80%-85% of predictions right, not 100%. Or else we calibrated our estimates in the wrong way.

One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.

Well the way we perceive accuracy and what accuracy is statistically are really two different things.