We need to stop, and admit it: we have a prediction problem. We love to predict things—and we aren’t very good at it.

Every four years in the presidential election, some new precedent is broken.

We're not that much smarter than we used to be, even though we have much more information - and that means the real skill now is learning how to pick out the useful information from all this noise.

To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.

I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.

I love South American food, and I haven't really been down there. I really need a vacation.

The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake.