We need to stop, and admit it: we have a prediction problem. We love to predict things—and we aren’t very good at it.

I guess I don't like the people in politics very much, to be blunt.

I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.

I love South American food, and I haven't really been down there. I really need a vacation.

If you have reason to think that yesterday's forecast went wrong, there is no glory in sticking to it.

People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.

Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.