I would be wary of experts' intuition, except when they deal with something that they have dealt with a lot in the past.
Daniel KahnemanThere is a huge wave of interest in happiness among researchers. There is a lot of happiness coaching. Everybody would like to make people happier.
Daniel KahnemanDoubting what you see is a very odd experience. And doubting what you remember is a little less odd than doubting what you see. But it's also a pretty odd experience, because some memories come with a very compelling sense of truth about them, and that happens to be the case even for memories that are not true.
Daniel KahnemanOverconfidence is a powerful source of illusions, primarily determined by the quality and coherence of the story that you can construct, not by its validity.
Daniel KahnemanI have always believed that scientific research is another domain where a form of optimism is essential to success: I have yet to meet a successful scientist who lacks the ability to exaggerate the importance of what he or she is doing, and I believe that someone who lacks a delusional sense of significance will wilt in the face of repeated experiences of multiple small failures and rare successes, the fate of most researchers.
Daniel Kahneman