The amount of success it takes for leaders to become overconfident isn't terribly large.
Daniel KahnemanI used to hold a unitary view, in which I proposed that only experienced happiness matters, and that life satisfaction is a fallible estimate of true happiness.
Daniel KahnemanEconomists think about what people ought to do. Psychologists watch what they actually do.
Daniel KahnemanClearly, the decision-making that we rely on in society is fallible. It's highly fallible, and we should know that.
Daniel Kahneman