The confidence that individuals have in their beliefs depends mostly on the quality of the story they can tell about what they see, even if they see little.
Daniel KahnemanI would be wary of experts' intuition, except when they deal with something that they have dealt with a lot in the past.
Daniel KahnemanWe are prone to overestimate how much we understand about the world and to underestimate the role of chance in events.
Daniel KahnemanThere's a tendency to look at investments in isolation. Investors focus on the risk of individual securities.
Daniel Kahneman