The illusion of skill is not only an individual aberration; it is deeply ingrained in the culture of the [investment management] industry.
Daniel KahnemanAn individual who expresses high confidence probably has a good story, which may or may not be true.
Daniel KahnemanIn essence, the optimistic style involves taking credit for successes but little blame for failures.
Daniel KahnemanWe are very influenced by completely automatic things that we have no control over, and we don't know we're doing it.
Daniel Kahneman