However, optimism is highly valued, socially and in the market; people and firms reward the providers of dangerously misleading information more than they reward truth tellers. One of the lessons of the financial crisis that led to the Great Recession is that there are periods in which competition, among experts and among organizations, creates powerful forces that favor a collective blindness to risk and uncertainty.
Daniel KahnemanMost of the time, we think fast. And most of the time we're really expert at what we're doing, and most of the time, what we do is right.
Daniel KahnemanClearly, the decision-making that we rely on in society is fallible. It's highly fallible, and we should know that.
Daniel Kahneman