I would not advise people to buy a car or house without making a list. You will probably improve your intuitions by making a list and then sleeping on it.

Psychologists really aim to be scientists, white-coat stuff, with elaborate statistics, running experiments.

We have no reason to expect the quality of intuition to improve with the importance of the problem. Perhaps the contrary: high-stake problems are likely to involve powerful emotions and strong impulses to action.

In essence, the optimistic style involves taking credit for successes but little blame for failures.

I enjoy being active, but I look forward to the day when I can retire to the Internet.

Some memories come with a very compelling sense of truth about them. And that happens to be the case even with memories that are not true.

To know whether you can trust a particular intuitive judgment, there are two questions you should ask: Is the environment in which the judgment is made sufficiently regular to enable predictions from the available evidence? The answer is yes for diagnosticians, no for stock pickers. Do the professionals have an adequate opportunity to learn the cues and the regularities? The answer here depends on the professionals' experience and on the quality and speed with which they discover their mistakes.