It doesn't take many observations to think you've spotted a trend, and it's probably not a trend at all.
Daniel KahnemanAfter a crisis we tell ourselves we understand why it happened and maintain the illusion that the world is understandable. In fact, we should accept the world is incomprehensible much of the time.
Daniel KahnemanWhen people think of the outcomes of their decisions, they think much more short term than that. They think in terms of gains and losses.
Daniel Kahneman