The amount of success it takes for leaders to become overconfident isn't terribly large.
Daniel KahnemanMany people will admit that they made a mistake [putting money in dot-coms or telecoms at their peak] But that doesnโt mean that theyโve changed their mind about anything in particular. It doesnโt mean that they are now able to avoid that mistake.
Daniel KahnemanIn a rising market, enough of your bad ideas will pay off so that you'll never learn that you should have fewer ideas.
Daniel KahnemanIf people do not know what is going to make them better off or give them pleasure, then the idea that you can trust people to do what will give them pleasure becomes questionable.
Daniel Kahneman