That's one of the real dangers of leader selection in many organizations: leaders are selected for overconfidence.
Daniel KahnemanWe don't see very far in the future, we are very focused on one idea at a time, one problem at a time, and all these are incompatible with rationality as economic theory assumes it.
Daniel KahnemanAdaptation seems to be, to a substantial extent, a process of reallocating your attention.
Daniel KahnemanWe have no reason to expect the quality of intuition to improve with the importance of the problem. Perhaps the contrary: high-stake problems are likely to involve powerful emotions and strong impulses to action.
Daniel Kahneman