The idea that you can ask one question and it makes the point - well, that wasn't how psychology was done at the time.
Daniel KahnemanPolicy makers, like most people, normally feel that they already know all the psychology and all the sociology they are likely to need for their decisions. I don't think they are right, but that's the way it is.
Daniel KahnemanClearly, the decision-making that we rely on in society is fallible. It's highly fallible, and we should know that.
Daniel KahnemanCourage is willingness to take the risk once you know the odds. Optimistic overconfidence means you are taking the risk because you don't know the odds. It's a big difference.
Daniel Kahneman