Friends are sometimes a big help when they share your feelings. In the context of decisions, the friends who will serve you best are those who understand your feelings but are not overly impressed by them.

An investment said to have an 80% chance of success sounds far more attractive than one with a 20% chance of failure. The mind can't easily recognize that they are the same.

Courage is willingness to take the risk once you know the odds. Optimistic overconfidence means you are taking the risk because you don't know the odds. It's a big difference.

We can't live in a state of perpetual doubt, so we make up the best story possible and we live as if the story were true.

Slow thinking has the feeling of something you do. It's deliberate.

Experts don't know exactly where the boundaries of their expertise are.

We deeply want to be led by people who know what they're doing and who don't have to think about it too much.