You need strategies that help rule things out. That's the opposite of saying, "This is what my gut is telling me; let me gather information to confirm it."

Rigor is not a substitute for imagination.

Many business intuitions and expertise are going to be valuable; they are telling you something useful, and you want to take advantage of them.

Society's epitome of credibility is John Wayne, who sizes up a situation and says, "Here's what I'm going to do" - and you follow him.

If you mean, "My gut feeling is telling me this; therefore I can act on it and I don't have to worry," we say you should never trust your gut.

Slow adaptation is driven by forces such as evolution. Fast adaptation is driven by forces such as insight.

If a situation is very, very turbulent, it has low validity, and there's no basis for intuition.