Go to parties. You can't even start to know what you may find on the envelope of serendipity. If you suffer from agoraphobia, send colleagues.

Bitcoin is the beginning of something great: a currency without a government, something necessary and imperative.

Never ask a trader if he is profitable: you can easily see it in his gesture and gait.

I've debated many economists who claim to specialize in risk and probability: when one takes them slightly outside their narrow focus, but within the discipline of probability, they fall apart, with the disconsolate face of a gym rat in front of a gangster hit man.

Don't ask the barber whether you need a haircut, and don't ask an academic if what he does is relevant.

Few understand that procrastination is our natural defense, letting things take care of themselves and exercise their antifragility; it results from some ecological or naturalistic wisdom, and is not always bad - at an existential level, it is my body rebelling against its entrapment. It is my soul fighting the Procrustean bed of modernity.

Probability is not about the odds, but about the belief in the existence of an alternative outcome, cause, or motive.