It might be useful to be able to predict war. But tension does not necessarily lead to war, but often to peace and to denouement.
Nassim Nicholas TalebJanet Yellen at the FED is equivalent to having a biology schoolteacher who has never seen blood perform brain surgery.
Nassim Nicholas TalebAny system that is deprived of its natural volatility, with government up (unintelligible) volatile, any system becomes very fragile.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb