Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake.
It's a little strange to become a kind of symbol of a whole type of analysis.
Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
I have the same friends and the same bad habits.