Well the way we perceive accuracy and what accuracy is statistically are really two different things.

Midterm elections can be dreadfully boring, unfortunately.

To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.

There's always the risk that there are unknown unknowns.

Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.

I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.

Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.