Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
Nate SilverTo be a very, very minor, eighth-tier celebrity, you realize, 'Hey, celebrities are just like us.'
Nate SilverActually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
Nate Silver