I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.

Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.

The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake.

Midterm elections can be dreadfully boring, unfortunately.

When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen

Shakespeare's plays often turn on the idea of fate, as much drama does. What makes them so tragic is the gap between what his characters might like to accomplish and what fate provides them.

By playing games you can artificially speed up your learning curve to develop the right kind of thought processes.