Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.

I have to think about how to not spread myself too thin. It's a really great problem to have.

I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.

Shakespeare's plays often turn on the idea of fate, as much drama does. What makes them so tragic is the gap between what his characters might like to accomplish and what fate provides them.

The thing that people associate with expertise, authoritativeness, kind of with a capital 'A,' don't correlate very well with who's actually good at making predictions.

Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.

I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.