Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.

I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.

I guess I don't like the people in politics very much, to be blunt.

Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.

Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.

Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.

Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.