Data-driven predictions can succeed-and they can fail. It is when we deny our role in the process that the odds of failure rise. Before we demand more of our data, we need to demand more of ourselves.

The quest for certainty in forecasting outcomes can be the enemy of progress.

I think punditry serves no purpose.

I guess I don't like the people in politics very much, to be blunt.

The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.

In politics people build whole reputations off of getting one thing right.

Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.