All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.

If you have reason to think that yesterday's forecast went wrong, there is no glory in sticking to it.

By playing games you can artificially speed up your learning curve to develop the right kind of thought processes.

Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.

All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.

Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.

You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.