Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge: the serenity to accept the things we cannot predict, the courage to predict the things we can, and the wisdom to know the difference.

I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.

If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.

Walk rate is probably the area in which a pitcher has the most room to improve, but a rate that high is tough to overcome.

We want to get 80%-85% of predictions right, not 100%. Or else we calibrated our estimates in the wrong way.

To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.

We speak for them. We imbue them with meaning.