The thing that people associate with expertise, authoritativeness, kind of with a capital 'A,' don't correlate very well with who's actually good at making predictions.

I have to think about how to not spread myself too thin. It's a really great problem to have.

Shakespeare's plays often turn on the idea of fate, as much drama does. What makes them so tragic is the gap between what his characters might like to accomplish and what fate provides them.

New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.

I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.

People have different ways of interpreting history.

Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.