The thing that people associate with expertise, authoritativeness, kind of with a capital 'A,' don't correlate very well with who's actually good at making predictions.

People attach too much importance to intangibles like heart, desire and clutch hitting.

On average, people should be more skeptical when they see numbers. They should be more willing to play around with the data themselves.

A lot of news is just entertainment masquerading as news.

It's a little strange to become a kind of symbol of a whole type of analysis.

I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.

Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.