If you have reason to think that yesterday's forecast went wrong, there is no glory in sticking to it.

Racism is predictable. It's predicted by interaction or lack thereof with people unlike you, people of other races.

I have to think about how to not spread myself too thin. It's a really great problem to have.

The thing that people associate with expertise, authoritativeness, kind of with a capital 'A,' don't correlate very well with who's actually good at making predictions.

One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.

We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.

I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.