I think punditry serves no purpose.

A lot of things can't be modeled very well.

Data-driven predictions can succeed-and they can fail. It is when we deny our role in the process that the odds of failure rise. Before we demand more of our data, we need to demand more of ourselves.

I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.

It's a little strange to become a kind of symbol of a whole type of analysis.

If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.

The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake.